Bouvier Des Flandres Speciality 2016

Carol is heading up to Lancaster, Pa to help.

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Carol is flying up to Lancaster, Pa to help our favorite breeder, Nancy Valaske (carting chair), as a steward for the Carting Test, Monday October 17th (closed course) and Tuesday (trail) October 18th.

She will also take in the rest of the events on Wednesday & Thursday.

She will fly into BWI on Sunday the 16th, grab a rental car from Hertz and drive an hour and a half up to the Lancaster Host Resort & Conference Center.

Carol will learn what her duties will be when she meets up with Nancy on Sunday.  The carting trials begin bright and early (8:30 am) each day, with equipment checks at 8:00 am.

The levels offered are:

  • Novice Draft Dog—NDD
  • Novice Draft Dog-Veteran—NDD-V
  • Draft Dog—DD
  • Draft Dog-Veteran—DD-V
  • Novice Brace Draft Dog—NBDD
  • Novice Brace Draft Dog-Veterans—NBDD-V
  • Brace Draft Dog—BDD
  • Brace Draft Dog-Veterans—BDD-V

A video of Jedi earning his DD Title, closed course portion, from 2012:

Hopefully Carol will meet up with some Bouv friends at the Welcome Dinner Monday Evening, Down on the Farm Buffet & Auction (Tuesday Evening) and Award Dinner on Thursday Evening.

She will drive back to BWI on Friday to fly home.

Hurricane Preparedness

  1. Home is 12 ft above sea level with good drainage,
  2. 4 wheel drive vehicle with full tank
    1. Evacuation route to Folkston (and beyond) planned
  3. 20 kW propane powered generator
    1. 500 gal propane tank @65% full
  4. Water well, so as long as the generator runs we will have water.
    1. 2 cases of bottled water just in case
  5. Well stocked pantry
  6. Gas stove and hot water heater
  7. Chain saw for downed limbs
  8. Multi-band portable radio
  9. Flash lights & Batteries
  10. First aid supplies
  11. Medications

Trump’s Taxes

In the Presidential Debate HRC again made a pitch to get Donald to release his taxes.

“Why won’t he release his tax returns?” Clinton asked.
“Maybe he is not as rich as he says he is,” she continued. “Maybe he is not as charitable as he claims to be,” “Maybe he doesn’t want the American people to know that he has paid nothing in federal taxes.”
Clinton concluded, saying “There is something he is hiding.”

Lets break this down:

  • Releasing his taxes – He has repeatedly said “on advise of council” or something to that effect, because he is under IRS audit.
    • His audit status can’t be verified, since IRS won’t disclose such information publicly.  But it is likely and I suspect that if it wasn’t true there would have been a “leak” by now.
    • There have been numerous interview with lawyers who confirm that they would advise their clients not to release under the same circumstances.
      • As someone who took a lawyer with you to an FBI interview, I am sure you would urge Donald to listen to his lawyer.
  • Not as rich as he says – Hillary, in case you missed it these are INCOME taxes not WEALTH taxes.  Nowhere  on the tax form do you disclose you net worth, or a least any form I have filed in my lifetime.
  • Not as charitable – You may have a point here, but just to put a fine point on this not all donation are tax deductible.
  • Paid no taxes – There are two ways to legally pay no taxes; 1) not make the threshold income, 2) have deductions that offset your income. Therefore since IRS has/is auditing his taxes we can assume he is taking legal deductions, and he is paying his legally due taxes. This may not conform to your ideal “fair share” but like you and your endorser Warren Buffet he has chosen not to volunteer to kick in a donation to pay his “fair share”.

Speaking of hiding things in a tax return, your 2015 taxes disclose a $42,000 donation to Desert Classic Charities but not that Desert Classic Charities donated $700,000 to the Clinton Foundation.

OBTW: HRC when was your last tax audit?  Reportedly Donald has been audited annually for the last 12 years.

I will close with an example of Media Bias, Donald replied to HRC’s comment about paying no taxes with “That makes me smart.” which CNN reported as “Trump: I’m ‘smart’ for paying no taxes”, implying that he agreed that he had paid no taxes, not quite what he said.

PS: since this was written the New York Times has published “Donald Trump Tax Records Show He Could Have Avoided Taxes for Nearly Two Decades, The Times Found” which show that in 1995, after various business loses, he claimed a net operating loss of $915,729,293.  Which they report “Under I.R.S. rules in 1995, net operating losses could be used to wipe out taxable income earned in the three years before and the 15 years after the loss.”

They also confirmed my assertion that tax returns don’t report net worth.  “The tax documents also do not shed any light on Mr. Trump’s claimed net worth of about $2 billion at that time. This is because the complex calculations of business deductions that produced a tax loss of $916 million are a separate matter from how Mr. Trump valued his assets, the tax experts said.”

They also reported “But the most important revelation from the 1995 tax documents is just how much Mr. Trump may have benefited from a tax provision that is particularly prized by America’s dynastic families, which, like the Trumps, hold their wealth inside byzantine networks of partnerships, limited liability companies and S corporations.

It should be noted that the Clinton’s also “hold their wealth inside byzantine networks of partnerships, limited liability companies and S corporations”, and in 2015 took a $699,540 capital loss carryover.

  1. The Clinton Family Foundation
  2. William J. Clinton (no separate business name)
  3. WJC, LLC
  4. ZFS Holdings
  5. William Jefferson Clinton Irrevocable Life Insurance Trust
  6. William J. Clinton 2010 Irrevocable Trust
  7. William J. Clinton 2010 Residence Trust
  8. Hillary Rodham Clinton Residence Trust
  9. Estate of Dorothy E. Rodham
  10. Article 4 Trust Created Under the Dorothy E. Rodham Rev. Trust
  11. Bill Hillary & Chelsea Clinton Foundation

In 2015 their W-2 income was $93.00.

Just for the record, the old curmudgeon is also was one of those “dynastic families, which, like the Trumps, hold their wealth inside byzantine networks of partnerships, limited liability companies and S corporations.”  My brothers and I held the properties we had inherited from our father, our family home and 20+ acres in NC which had been owned by our grandfather, in an LLC.  Contrary to NY Times reporting this was something done by many ordinary individual and family business, to gain the liability protections offered by an LLC.  Your could go to any office supply store and purchase a LLC kit for $20.

In the past I also took advantage of another IRS tax benefit, income averaging after graduating from college.  Too bad today’s college graduates no longer have access to this tax saving regulation.  Congress removed it in the Tax Reform Act of 1986, you might remember this was the act that also took away the consumer loan and  credit card interest deduction.

 

 

 

Trump the consummate businessman?

Why wasn’t he prepared for Alicia?

Why wasn’t the Trump campaign prepared for Alicia, basic oppo research should have found her threat to “Reveal All About Her Notoriously Rocky Relationship With Pageant Boss Donald Trump In An Upcoming Memoir” issued over a year ago.  If I can find this with a simple Google search, his campaign should have been aware and prepared for this issue.  Obviously the HRC campaign oppo research team found it.

IMHO this is just another example of the management failures by Donald, such as; not being aware of delegate process, not copyrighting his logo, failure to re-license his jet, … .  These are not things that a well managed, efficient organization does.  They are all staff failures, but if Donald, the consummate businessman, surrounds himself with the best staff members how do these things happen?

Is this the level of staffing we can expect of a Trump administration?

PS: The failure of the Trump Foundation to have the necessary permits in NY is another example that predates the campaign.

Gaming the system?

Politics as usual

The September 21st Fernandina Beach News-Leader had this article on page 3a, by Eric Gutierrez.

Gaming.jpg

Florida is a closed primary state, until 2000 you only vote the ticket of your registration or nonpartisan contest.  But in 1998 Floridians approved a constitutional amendment opening primaries to all voters, via Universal Primary Contest, if all of the candidates are from a single political party.  Thus in a primary if there in no opposition from a recognized party it is designated a Universal Primary Contest and all registered voters can vote.

Two years later, then-Secretary of State Katherine Harris issued an opinion that said the existence of a write-in candidate was enough to cause a primary to be closed.  It has been used to game the system ever since.

If you are a Republican or Democrat facing only opponents from you own party you  have to worry that voters from the other party will vote against you.  You can eliminate this by having a ally register as a write-in candidate, thus creating a closed primary situation.

In this case Justin M. Taylor faced two other Republicans primary candidates; Klynt A. Farmer and Joe Zimmerman and without Don Tanner opposition as a write-in it would have been a Universal Primary Contest open to all registered voters in the district.

Was Don Tanner someone who intended to run as a write-in in the general election, but has for some reason decided to withdraw, we will never know.  Was he an ally of one of the other candidates or just a loyal  Republican, we will never know.  Was he an ally of Justin Taylor, again we will never know, but the optics are not good for Mr. Taylor.

In a primary where the winning margin was 681 votes (4.4% of total vote) would the outcome have been different if it had been a Universal Primary Contest, likely.

It should be noted that this was the only County Commissioner race with a write-in candidate.

 

I would like to have medical care like this!

For only $611.00 per year.

A clinic, within walking distance of your office, staffed by five doctors with a medical staff of thirteen, who provide routine exams, consultations, and certain diagnostic tests. The office does not provide vision or dental care, and prescriptions may be written but not dispensed.   When a specialist is brought in, you pay no additional costs.  All for a total cost of $611.00 per year, up from $503.00 in 2011, where it had been for the last 17 years.

My last visit to an emergency walk-in clinic was $230.00.

In additions to this clinic you have a comprehensive health plan which you employers covers 70% of the cost.  For only $550.00 per month (your cost for a typical family plan) the plan covers:

• Routine physical exams, which is also available at the clinic
• Ambulance services
• Urgent care, which is also available at the clinic
• Doctor’s office visits, which is also available at the clinic
• Inpatient hospital care
• Mental health services
• Specialist visits,  which is also available at the clinic
• Surgery
• Stop smoking aids
• Lab tests • X-rays, which is also available at the clinic
• Physical therapy, which is also available at the clinic
• Prescriptions, which is also available at the clinic
• Maternity care, which is also available at the clinic
• And more

To avail yourself to all of this and a salary of $174,000 per year, just get yourself elected to Congress.

The clinic is The Office of Attending Physician, U.S. Congress.

Published as letter to editor, Fernandina Beach News-Leader, Wednesday September 21, 2016.

 

How Not To Design A Roundabout

Nassau County Fails Roundabout 101.

Not far from my house is a prime example of how not to design a roundabout.  The roundabout is on Heron Isle Parkway, between Blackrock Rd. and Chester Rd.

Let’s start with the ideal roundabout, according to Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT).

idealra

Nice symetrical design, typical of most of the roundabouts on Amelia Island, such as Bailey Rd. & Amelia  Island Parkway.

bailey

FDOT also recommends signage, as seen at 14th and Amelia Island Parkway.

14_aip

The Federal Highway Administration provides guidance on the radial alignment of entries.

align
Exibit 6 – 18, FHWA “Roundabouts: An Informational Guide”

.With the admonishment “Approach alignment should not be offset to the right of the roundabout’s center point.” and this elaboration “It is almost never acceptable for an approach alignment to be offset to the right of the roundabout’s center point. This alignment brings the approach in at a more tangential angle and reduces the opportunity to provide sufficient entry curvature. Vehicles will be able to enter the roundabout too fast, resulting in more loss-of control crashes and higher crash rates between entering and circulating vehicles.  Exhibit 6-18 illustrates the preferred radial alignment of entries.” [emphasis added by old curmudgeon]

Now we get to the Heron Isle Parkway roundabout.

Heron.jpg

The Northbound approach centerline is not only offset to the right, contrary to FHWA guidelines, it is tangent.  Entering from any other approach you are forced to slow down.  Not so for the Northbound approach.  There is signage reducing the speed from 35 mph to 25 mph, but it is not in accordance with the FDOT recommendation, no circle graphic on the sign.

heronsign

There is also a new approach being built, to service the new homes being built to the East of the Parkway.  The curmudgeon’s Jeep is parked in the center of the new approach.  This new approach will make the intersection more dangerous than it already is.  The old curmudgeon has witnessed two near misses at the circle, where the northbound vehicle failed to yield to a vehicle entering the circle from Gaylon Dr.  Because of the fence, the sight line of the northbound driver of traffic entering from Gaylon Drive is obstructed as is the sightline of the vehicle entering from Gaylon.

yield

Sightline

The blue line in the figure below represents the sightline, given the fence.  The brown line is the distance from the site line to the entrance of the roundabout, 160 ft.  At 25 mph you have 4 seconds from the time you can see a car on Gaylor until you enter the circle.  The breaking distance from 25 mph is 30 ft, leaving you less than 3 seconds reaction time.  The published perception/reaction distance for 25 mph is 55 ft.  Note: According to Appraiser’s map (figure below) the new entrance will be Furtherview Ct.

sightline